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What are EviCons? GenomicConsensus? Quiver? Plurality?

       GenomicConsensus is the current PacBio consensus and variant calling suite.  It contains a
       main  driver  program,  variantCaller,  which  provides  two   consensus/variant   calling
       algorithms:    Arrow   and   Quiver.    These   algorithms   can   be   run   by   calling
       variantCaller --algorithm=[arrow|quiver|plurality] or by  going  through  the  convenience
       wrapper scripts quiver and arrow.

       EviCons was the previous generation PacBio variant caller (removed
              in software release v1.3.1).

       Separate  packages called ConsensusCore and ConsensusCore2 are C++ libraries where all the
       computation behind Quiver and Arrow are done, respectively.  This is  transparent  to  the
       user after installation.

What is Plurality?

       Plurality  is  a  very  simple  variant  calling algorithm: it stacks up the aligned reads
       (alignment as produced by BLASR, or alternate mapping tool), and for each column  under  a
       reference  base,  calls  the  most  abundant (i.e., the plurality) read base (or bases, or
       deletion) as the consensus at that reference position.

Why is Plurality a weak algorithm?

       Plurality does not perform any local realignment.  This means it is heavily biased by  the
       alignment produced by the mapper (BLASR, typically).  It also means that it is insensitive
       at detecting indels.  Consider this example:

              Reference    AAAA
                           ----
                Aligned    A-AA
                  reads    AA-A
                           -AAA
                           ----
              Plurality    AAAA
              consensus

       Note here that every read has a deletion and the correct consensus call  would  be  “AAA”,
       but  due  to the mapper's freedom in gap-placement at the single-read level, the plurality
       sequence is “AAAA”—so the deletion is missed.  Local realignment, which plurality does not
       do,  but which could be considered as implicit in the Quiver algorithm, essentially pushes
       the gaps here to the same column, thus identifying the deletion.  While plurality could be
       adjusted  to  use  a  simple  “gap normalizing” realignment, in practice noncognate extras
       (spurious non-homopolymer base calls) in the midst of homopolymer runs pose challenges.

What is Quiver?

       Quiver is a more sophisticated algorithm that finds the maximum quasi-likelihood  template
       sequence given PacBio reads of the template.  PacBio reads are modeled using a conditional
       random field approach that  scores  the  quasi-likelihood  of  a  read  given  a  template
       sequence.   In  addition to the base sequence of each read, Quiver uses several additional
       QV covariates that the basecaller provides.  Using these  covariates  provides  additional
       information about each read, allowing more accurate consensus calls.

       Quiver  does  not  use the alignment provided by the mapper (BLASR, typically), except for
       determining how to group reads together at a macro level.  It implicitly performs its  own
       realignment, so it is highly sensitive to all variant types, including indels—for example,
       it resolves the example above with ease.

       The name Quiver reflects a consensus-calling algorithm that is QV-aware.

       We use the lowercase “quiver” to denote the quiver tool in GenomicConsensus, which applies
       the Quiver algorithm to mapped reads to derive sequence consensus and variants.

       Quiver   is  described  in  detail  in  the  supplementary  material  to  the  HGAP  paper
       (http://www.nature.com/nmeth/journal/v10/n6/full/nmeth.2474.html).

What is Arrow?

       Arrow is a newer model  intended  to  supersede  Quiver  in  the  near  future.   The  key
       differences  from  Quiver are that it uses an HMM model instead of a CRF, it computes true
       likelihoods, and it uses a smaller set of covariates.  We expect a whitepaper on Arrow  to
       be available soon.

       We  use  the lowercase “arrow” to denote the arrow tool, which applies the Arrow algorithm
       to mapped reads to derive sequence consensus and variants.

How do I run quiver/arrow?

       For general instructions on installing and running, see the HowTo (./HowTo.rst) document.

What is the output from quiver/arrow?

       There are three output files from the GenomicConsensus tools:

       1. A consensus FASTA file containing the consensus sequence

       2. A consensus FASTQ file containing the consensus sequence with quality annotations

       3. A variants GFF file containing a filtered, annotated list of variants identified

       It is important to note that the variants included in the output  variants  GFF  file  are
       filtered  by  coverage and quality, so not all variants that are apparent in comparing the
       reference to the consensus FASTA output will correspond to variants in the output variants
       GFF file.

       To enable all output files, the following can be run (for example):

              % quiver -j16 aligned_reads.cmp.h5 -r ref.fa \
               -o consensus.fa                             \
               -o consensus.fq                             \
               -o variants.gff

       The extension is used to determine the output file format.

What does it mean that quiver consensus is de novo?

       Quiver's  consensus is de novo in the sense that the reference and the reference alignment
       are not used to inform the consensus output.  Only the reads factor into the determination
       of the consensus.

       The  only  time  the  reference  sequence  is  used  to  make  consensus  calls  -when the
       --noEvidenceConsensusCall flag is set to reference or lowercasereference (the default)- is
       when  there  is  no  effective coverage in a genomic window, so Quiver has no evidence for
       computing consensus.  One can set  --noEvidenceConsensusCall=nocall  to  avoid  using  the
       reference even in zero coverage regions.

What is the expected quiver accuracy?

       Quiver's  expected accuracy is a function of coverage and chemistry.  The C2 chemistry (no
       longer available), P6-C4  and  P4-C2  chemistries  provide  the  most  accuracy.   Nominal
       consensus accuracy levels are as follows:

       Coverage +     Expected    consensus   accuracy
                      ——————+————+ C2, P4-C2, P6-C4  |
                      P5-C3
       ────────────────────────────────────────────────
       10x            > Q30 | > Q30
       20x            > Q40 | > Q40
       40x            > Q50 | > Q45
       60-80x         ~ Q60 | > Q55

       The “Q” values referred to are Phred-scaled quality values:

              q =  − 10log~10~p~error~

       for  instance,  Q50  corresponds  to  a  p_error of 0.00001—an accuracy of 99.999%.  These
       accuracy expectations are based on routine validations  performed  on  multiple  bacterial
       genomes before each chemistry release.

What is the expected accuracy from arrow

       arrow achieves similar accuracy to quiver.  Numbers will be published soon.

What are the residual errors after applying quiver?

       If  there are errors remaining applying Quiver, they will almost invariably be homopolymer
       run-length errors (insertions or deletions).

Does quiver/arrow need to know what sequencing chemistry was used?

       At present, the Quiver model is trained per-chemistry, so it is very important that Quiver
       knows the sequencing chemistries used.

       If  SMRT Analysis software was used to build the cmp.h5 or BAM input file, the cmp.h5 will
       be loaded with information about the sequencing chemistry used for  each  SMRT  Cell,  and
       GenomicConsensus will automatically identify the right parameters to use.

       If  custom software was used to build the cmp.h5, or an override of Quiver's autodetection
       is desired, then the chemistry or model must be explicitly entered.  For example:

              % quiver -p P4-C2 ...
              % quiver -p P4-C2.AllQVsMergingByChannelModel ...

Can a mix of chemistries be used in a cmp.h5 file for quiver/arrow?

       Yes! GenomicConsensus tools automatically see the  chemistry  per-SMRT  Cell,  so  it  can
       figure out the right parameters for each read and model them appropriately.

What chemistries and chemistry mixes are supported?

       For  Quiver: all PacBio RS chemistries are supported.  Chemistry mixtures of P6-C4, P4-C2,
       P5-C3, and C2 are supported.

       For Arrow: the RS chemistry P6-C4, and all PacBio Sequel chemistries are supported.  Mixes
       of these chemistries are supported.

What are the QVs that the Quiver model uses?

       Quiver  uses  additional QV tracks provided by the basecaller.  These QVs may be looked at
       as little breadcrumbs that are left behind by the basecaller to  help  identify  positions
       where  it  was likely that errors of a given type occurred.  Formally, the QVs for a given
       read are vectors of the same length as the number of bases called; the  QVs  used  are  as
       follows:

              · DeletionQV

              · InsertionQV

              · MergeQV

              · SubstitutionQV

              · DeletionTag

       To find out if your cmp.h5 file is loaded with these QV tracks, run the command :

              % h5ls -rv aligned_reads.cmp.h5

       and  look  for  the  QV track names in the output.  If your cmp.h5 file is lacking some of
       these tracks, Quiver will still run, though it will issue a warning that  its  performance
       will be suboptimal.

Why is quiver/arrow making errors in some region?

       The  most  likely  cause  for  true errors made by these tools is that the coverage in the
       region was low.  If there is 5x coverage over a 1000-base region, then 10 errors  in  that
       region can be expected.

       It is important to understand that the effective coverage available to quiver/arrow is not
       the full coverage apparent in plots—the tools  filter  out  ambiguously  mapped  reads  by
       default.   The remaining coverage after filtering is called the /effective coverage/.  See
       the next section for discussion of MapQV.

       If you have verified that there is high effective coverage in the region in  question,  it
       is  highly possible—given the high accuracy quiver and arrow can achieve—that the apparent
       errors actually reflect true sequence variants.  Inspect the FASTQ output file  to  ensure
       that  the  region was called at high confidence; if an erroneous sequence variant is being
       called at high confidence, please report a bug to us.

What does Quiver do for genomic regions with no effective coverage?

       For regions with  no  effective  coverage,  no  variants  are  outputted,  and  the  FASTQ
       confidence is 0.

       The output in the FASTA and FASTQ consensus sequence tracks is dependent on the setting of
       the --noEvidenceConsensusCall flag.  Assuming the reference in the window is  “ACGT”,  the
       options are:

       --noEvidenceConsensusCall=...                    Consensus
                                                        output
       ─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
       nocall (default in 1.4)                          NNNN
       reference                                        ACGT
       lowercasereference  (new  post  1.4,  and  the   acgt
       default)

What is MapQV and why is it important?

       MapQV  is  a  single  scalar  Phred-scaled  QV per aligned read that reflects the mapper's
       degree of certainty that the read aligned to this part  of  the  reference  and  not  some
       other.   Unambigously  mapped  reads  will have a high MapQV (typically 255), while a read
       that was equally likely to have come from two parts of the reference would have a MapQV of
       3.

       MapQV  is  pretty  important  when  you  want  highly  accurate variant calls.  Quiver and
       Plurality both filter out aligned reads with a MapQV below 20 (by default), so as  not  to
       call a variant using data of uncertain genomic origin.

       This  can be problematic if using quiver/arrow to get a consensus sequence.  If the genome
       of interest contains long (relative to the library insert  size)  highly-similar  repeats,
       the  effective  coverage (after MapQV filtering) may be reduced in the repeat regions—this
       is termed these MapQV dropouts.  If the coverage is sufficiently reduced in these regions,
       quiver/arrow  will  not  call  consensus  in these regions—see What do quiver/arrow do for
       genomic regions with no effective coverage?_.

       If you want to use ambiguously  mapped  reads  in  computing  a  consensus  for  a  denovo
       assembly,  the  MapQV  filter can be turned off entirely.  In this case, the consensus for
       each instance of a genomic repeat will be calculated using reads that may actually be from
       other  instances  of  the  repeat,  so  the exact trustworthiness of the consensus in that
       region may be suspect.  The next section describes how to disable the MapQV filter.

       How can the MapQV filter be turned off and when should  it  be?   ————————————————————–The
       MapQV  filter  can  be  disabled  using the flag --mapQvThreshold=0 (shorthand: -m=0).  If
       running a quiver/arrow job via SMRT Portal, this can be done by unchecking the  “Use  only
       unambiguously mapped reads” option.  Consider this in de novo assembly projects, but it is
       not recommended for variant calling applications.

How can variant calls made by quiver/arrow be inspected or

       validated?

       When in doubt, it is easiest to inspect the region in a tool like SMRT View, which enables
       you to view the reads aligned to the region.  Deletions and substitutions should be fairly
       easy to spot; to view insertions, right-click on  the  reference  base  and  select  “View
       Insertions Before...”.

What are the filtering parameters that quiver/arrow use?

       The available options limit read coverage, filters reads by MapQV, and filters variants by
       quality and coverage.

       · The overall read coverage used to call consensus in every window is 100x by default, but
         can be changed using -X=value.

       · The  MapQV  filter, by default, removes reads with MapQV < 20.  This is configured using
         --mapQvThreshold=value / -m=value

       · Variants are only called if the read coverage of the site exceeds 5x, by default—this is
         configurable  using  -x=value.   Further,  they  will  not  be  called if the confidence
         (Phred-scaled) does not exceed 40—configurable using -q=value.

       What happens when the sample is a  mixture,  or  diploid?   —————————————————–At  present,
       quiver/arrow  assume  a  haploid  sample,  and  the  behavior  of  on  sample  mixtures or
       diploid/polyploid samples is undefined.  The  program  will  not  crash,  but  the  output
       results  are  not  guaranteed  to  accord with any one of the haplotypes in the sample, as
       opposed to a potential patchwork.

Why would I want to iterate the mapping+(quiver/arrow)

       process?

       Some customers using quiver for polishing highly repetitive genomes  have  found  that  if
       they  take  the  consensus  FASTA  output  of  quiver, use it as a new reference, and then
       perform mapping and Quiver again to get a new consensus, they get  improved  results  from
       the second round of quiver.

       This  can  be  explained  by  noting  that the output of the first round of quiver is more
       accurate than the initial draft consensus output by the assembler, so the  second  round's
       mapping  to  the  quiver  consensus can be more sensitive in mapping reads from repetitive
       regions.  This can then result in improved consensus in those repetitive regions,  because
       the  reads have been assigned more correctly to their true genomic loci.  However there is
       also a possibility that the potential shifting of reads around from one rounds' mapping to
       the next might alter borderline (low confidence) consensus calls even away from repetitive
       regions.

       We recommend the (mapping+quiver) iteration for customers  polishing  repetitive  genomes,
       and  it  could  also  prove useful for resequencing applications.  However we caution that
       this is  very  much  an  exploratory  procedure  and  we  make  no  guarantees  about  its
       performance.   In  particular, borderline consensus calls can change when the procedure is
       iterated, and the procedure is not guaranteed to be convergent.

Is iterating the (mapping+quiver/arrow) process a convergent

       procedure?

       We have seen many examples where (mapping+quiver), repeated many times, is evidently not a
       convergent  procedure.   For example, a variant call may be present in iteration n, absent
       in n+1, and then present again in n+2.  It is possible for subtle changes  in  mapping  to
       change the set of reads examined upon inspecting a genomic window, and therefore result in
       a different consensus sequence there.  We  expect  this  to  be  the  case  primarily  for
       “borderline” (low confidence) base calls.

SEE ALSO

       variantCaller(1)

                                                                              GENOMICCONSENSUS(7)